Mu gihe aya masezerano yitezweho gukemura kimwe mu bibazo bikomeye by’imiyoborere n’umutekano mu burasirazuba bwa DRC, haracyari kwibazwa niba koko FDLR izashobora gusenywa burundu kuko ari umutwe ufite imizi iremereye, ukurikiranyweho uruhare muri jenoside yakorewe Abatutsi mu Rwanda mu 1994, kandi umaze imyaka myinshi ubarizwa mu mashyamba ya RD Congo.

Icyo amasezerano y’u Rwanda na RD Congo avuga

Mu masezerano, DRC yemeye guhagarika burundu inkunga iyo ari yo yose yagiye ishinjwa ko igenerwa imitwe irimo FDLR. Ni intambwe ikomeye kuko uyu mutwe wavugwaga ko uhabwa ubufasha bushingiye ku nyungu za politiki z’abayobozi bamwe ba DRC.

Hashyizweho uburyo bwiswe Concept of Operations, bugamije ibikorwa bifatika byo guhashya FDLR, kuyambura intwaro no kuyisenya mu buryo bugaragara bwo mu rwego rwa gisirikare n’u bufatanye bw’intasi.

Impande zombi zumvikanye ku kuryoshya imikoranire, hifashishijwe itsinda rihuriweho ry’umutekano (Joint Security Coordination Mechanism), ritegerejwe kugira uruhare mu igenzura ry’ishyirwa mu bikorwa ry’ibi byemezo.

Kuva mu ntangiriro za 2025, hari amatsinda y’abahoze muri FDLR batangiye gutaha mu Rwanda n’ubwo hari abavuga ko abataha aria baba batagifite akamaro muri FDLR cyangwa se abafatiwe kurugamba na M23.

Ese koko birashoboka ko FDLR yaranduka?

Impamvu zitanga icyizere

 Amasezerano arimo ibipimo bishobora gupimwa

Ku nshuro ya mbere, hashyizweho gahunda ifatika (CONOPS) ifite igihe, uburyo, n’abayishyira mu bikorwa. Aha ni ho amasezerano yo mu bihe byashize yaburaga imbaraga, kuko byabaga biri mu magambo rusange.

Impamvu nshya za DRC zo gushaka amahoro

DRC yinjiyemo amasezerano ku bw’inyungu zayo z’ubukungu n’umutekano. Uburasirazuba bwayo burushaho gutakaza agaciro mu bukungu kubera intambara zidashira, bityo guhashya imitwe yose itera umutekano muke harimo FDLR ni inyungu ikomeye.

Ubufatanye bw’akarere (EAC na SADC)

Inzego zose z’umutekano mu karere zamaze kwemeza ko zizagira uruhare mu guhashya imitwe yitwaje intwaro. Ni ubufatanye bushobora guteza intambwe igaragara.

U Rwanda rufite ubushake bukomeye kandi rusa n’urubona amahirwe mashya

U Rwanda rwavuze ko rushyigikiye amahoro, ariko kandi rwiteguye gufata ingamba zo kwirinda icyahungabanya umutekano warwo niba FDLR idahagaritswe. Ibi bituma amasezerano afite “pressure” ya politiki ishobora gutuma ashyirwa mu bikorwa.

Inzitizi zikomeye zishobora gutuma FDLR idacika burundu

Imiterere y’urugamba muri RD Congo

Uburasirazuba bwa DRC buracyarimo imitwe myinshi irenga 100. FDLR ishobora gutera imbere muri uru rubyiruko rw’imitwe, igahindura imiterere, cyangwa igahungira mu yandi mashyamba.

Politiki za DRC ntizihamye

Imiyoborere ya DRC ikunze guhinduka cyane, rimwe na rimwe ikaba yanirengagiza amasezerano yashyizweho. Hari impungenge ko guhindura ubutegetsi cyangwa kubura ubushake bishobora gutuma ibintu bisubira inyuma.

FDLR ifite abaterankunga batari DRC gusa

Nubwo DRC yemeye guhagarika inkunga, biragoye guhita uvuga ko abashaka kubangamira amahoro batazongera gutera uyu mutwe inkunga mu buryo bw’amarangamutima ya politiki cyangwa inyungu z’akarere.

Ukutumvikana ku mpamvu z’intambara n’abashaka kuyibyaza umusaruro

Hanze yo kwambura intwaro imitwe yitwaje intwaro, habanza kubaho impaka ndende ku kugira uhamye gahunda imwe hagati ya DRC, u Rwanda, n’abafatanyabikorwa mpuzamahanga. Ibi bishobora gutera gutinza cyangwa guhindura imirongo.

Icyo amasezerano asobanuye mu buryo bw’igihe kirekire

FDLR si umutwe usanzwe; ni itsinda rifite amateka akomeye, rifite abantu bafite imiryango, imbaraga za gisirikare, n’ubushobozi bwo kwivanga n’abaturage basanzwe.

Guhashya FDLR burundu bisaba:

· Guca imiyoboro yose y’inkunga

· Kubona amakuru yihariye

· Imikoranire idasumbana y’u Rwanda na DRC

· Ibikorwa bya gisirikare bimara igihe

· Politiki idahindagurika kuri buri ruhande

Mu buryo bw’ukuri, FDLR ishobora gucibwa intege bikomeye mu gihe gito, ariko "kuranduka burundu" bisaba imyaka myinshi y’imikoranire idacogora.

FDLR ishobora kuvaho nk’umutwe ukomeye, ariko ibimenyetso byose bigaragaza ko inzira izaba ndende, igoye, kandi isaba ubufatanye budahwema.